Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000213 0.000239 0.000266 0.000297 0.000331 0.000368 0.000411
2025-06-01 0.000174 0.000207 0.000245 0.000291 0.000345 0.000408 0.000484
2025-06-08 0.000146 0.000184 0.000230 0.000288 0.000361 0.000448 0.000561
2025-06-15 0.000127 0.000168 0.000219 0.000288 0.000378 0.000490 0.000643
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000153 0.000208 0.000285 0.000389 0.000526 0.000719
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000144 0.000203 0.000290 0.000411 0.000576 0.000816
2025-07-06 0.000090 0.000135 0.000198 0.000291 0.000428 0.000619 0.000908
2025-07-13 0.000081 0.000125 0.000190 0.000289 0.000438 0.000654 0.000989
2025-07-20 0.000076 0.000121 0.000189 0.000296 0.000463 0.000710 0.001105
2025-07-27 0.000070 0.000115 0.000185 0.000298 0.000479 0.000755 0.001207
2025-08-03 0.000065 0.000109 0.000180 0.000299 0.000493 0.000797 0.001307
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000103 0.000174 0.000296 0.000500 0.000828 0.001391
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000098 0.000171 0.000298 0.000518 0.000878 0.001511
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000093 0.000165 0.000296 0.000526 0.000913 0.001610
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000088 0.000160 0.000295 0.000537 0.000953 0.001719
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000084 0.000157 0.000295 0.000551 0.000999 0.001843
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000079 0.000152 0.000293 0.000558 0.001034 0.001949
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000077 0.000151 0.000298 0.000580 0.001097 0.002110
2025-09-28 0.000036 0.000075 0.000149 0.000300 0.000596 0.001149 0.002254
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000071 0.000145 0.000298 0.000604 0.001187 0.002372
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000070 0.000145 0.000305 0.000631 0.001263 0.002571
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000068 0.000144 0.000307 0.000648 0.001319 0.002734
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000065 0.000141 0.000308 0.000662 0.001371 0.002891